2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
696 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,261/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,251
Tax + insurance
−$268
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$-522/mo
Annual
$-6,264/yr
Cap rate
4.00%
Cash-on-cash
-8.19%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.53%
Cash to close
$66,780
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $238k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-522 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (38.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (47.1% below list).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (47.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#299 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $195k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 5.3% in Dallas — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29