2440 County Road 2970

Blanchard, OK 73572

$102,500B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,634 sqft · Built 1995 · SingleFamily · Pending · 29 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,185/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$538
• Tax + insurance: −$171
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$249
• Net cashflow: $228/mo
• Annual: $2,736/yr
• Cap rate: 8.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.53%
• DSCR: 1.42
• 1% rule: 1.16%
• Cash to close: $28,700

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $102k. Condition is rated poor.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $101k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($709 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#47 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Middleberg (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 513 in OK (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Middleberg Public School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 261 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.6% in Blanchard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: Exposed subfloor — Structural damage
• Major: Missing cabinets — No kitchen functionality
• Major: Missing fixtures — No bathroom functionality
• Major: Missing siding — Exterior damage