2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
975 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Condo
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,737/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$506
HOA
−$19
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$575
Net cashflow
$222/mo
Annual
$2,658/yr
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.40%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#69 in NY, #1,033 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Freeport Union Free School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #325 of 590 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Leo F Giblyn School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 541 students, 65% FRL); John W Dodd Middle School (math 16% / reading 41%, grade F, #569 of 729 statewide, top 78%, 986 students, 67% FRL); Freeport High School (math 82% / reading 85%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,264 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $184k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-CN5XY75B1D4VR9
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29