3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,776 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Land
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,565/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$329
Net cashflow
$427/mo
Annual
$5,121/yr
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.63%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#221 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Foyil (rural): math 25% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #364 of 513 in OK (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Foyil Es (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #604 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 227 students, 0% FRL); Foyil Jhs (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #311 of 345 statewide, top 92%, 96 students, 0% FRL); Foyil Hs (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #76 of 447 statewide, top 20%, 102 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 63% district-wide (63 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 608 units permitted in Rogers County in 2024 (7 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rogers County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CN6AQ84HZ6CAJR
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29