3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,038/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$147
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$218
Net cashflow
$627/mo
Annual
$7,520/yr
Cap rate
33.15%
Cash-on-cash
95.92%
DSCR
5.27
1% rule
3.71%
Cash to close
$7,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $28k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($194 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#379 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
Lanier County (rural): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #67 of 174 in GA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 35 units permitted in Lanier County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 33.1% vs local median 4.7% in Lakeland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Roof
— Shingles are visibly damaged and missing, requiring replacement.
Major: Exterior Siding
— Brick siding is worn and discolored, indicating extensive repair or replacement is needed.
Major: Flooring
— Hardwood floors are worn and scratched, requiring refinishing or replacement.
Major: Interior Walls
— Paint is peeling and walls show signs of water damage, requiring repainting and possibly repairs.
Major: Bathrooms
— Tiles are stained and grout is discolored, indicating a thorough cleaning and potential tile replacement.
Major: Landscaping
— Landscaping is overgrown and unkempt, requiring trimming and replanting.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CN8WS32PHCAB6Q
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29