3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,975 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,867/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$392
Net cashflow
$274/mo
Annual
$3,294/yr
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.88%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#111 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Camden County (town): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kingsland Elementary School (math 72% / reading 52%, grade B, #111 of 1,228 statewide, top 9%, 371 students, 54% FRL); Camden Middle School (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #68 of 470 statewide, top 15%, 1,125 students, 49% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 391 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 383 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Kingsland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CN9NKB2DSP4N7V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29