3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,663 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,651/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$400
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$-144/mo
Annual
$-1,723/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.65%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (10.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#323 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D.
Guntersville City (town): math 27% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #28 of 129 in AL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 467 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.1% in Guntersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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