1441 S Paso Real Ave #21

Rowland Heights, CA 91748

$178,000B+

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Built 1972 · Manufactured · Active · 86 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,681/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$933
• Tax + insurance: −$111
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$563
• Net cashflow: $1,073/mo
• Annual: $12,878/yr
• Cap rate: 13.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.84%
• DSCR: 2.15
• 1% rule: 1.51%
• Cash to close: $49,840

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $178k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $178k).
• It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $167k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,123 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Rowland Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #134 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Jellick Elementary (382 students, 82% FRL); Alvarado Intermediate (648 students, 73% FRL); John A. Rowland High (math 49% / reading 68%, grade C, #223 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 2,025 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 56% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 66d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.5% in Rowland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: kitchen backsplash — Worn and outdated backsplash
• Minor: bathroom fixtures — Basic and dated fixtures