3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,267/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$126
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$779/mo
Annual
$9,351/yr
Cap rate
48.05%
Cash-on-cash
149.12%
DSCR
7.63
1% rule
5.28%
Cash to close
$6,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $24k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $779 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Buchanan Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #589 of 616 statewide, top 96%, 357 students, 67% FRL); Wood Intermediate (math 44% / reading 52%, grade C-, #224 of 246 statewide, top 91%, 438 students, 61% FRL); North High School (math 45% / reading 59%, grade D+, #299 of 336 statewide, top 91%, 1,352 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 48.0% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CQ6SVQ0H3CM544
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29