300 W 30th St Unit 4F

New York, NY 10001

$1,098,000D-

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 607 sqft · Built 2020 · Condo · Pending · 23 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $7,148/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$5,758
• Tax + insurance: −$1,615
• HOA: −$856
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,501
• Net cashflow: $-2,582/mo
• Annual: $-30,986/yr
• Cap rate: 3.47%
• Cash-on-cash: -10.08%
• DSCR: 0.55
• 1% rule: 0.65%
• Cash to close: $307,440

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $1.10M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-31k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $793k (27.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $715k (34.9% below list).
• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $715k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $59k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
• New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$95k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $7,148/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($130k/yr) (locally 2137% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.