6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1850
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,511/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,007
Tax + insurance
−$320
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$527
Net cashflow
$657/mo
Annual
$7,882/yr
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.66%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$53,760
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $192k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $219/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $192k).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#275 in PA, #2,428 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment F.
Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Robb El Sch (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 435 students, 79% FRL); Central Mountain Ms (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #367 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 939 students, 55% FRL); Central Mountain Hs (math 77% / reading 75%, grade A-, #25 of 437 statewide, top 6%, 1,127 students, 24% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $54k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.8% in Lock Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,511/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 522% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CR9GMN0PYT76AB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29