2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
910 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Other
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$877/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$64
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$471/mo
Annual
$5,651/yr
Cap rate
25.13%
Cash-on-cash
67.28%
DSCR
3.99
1% rule
2.92%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#847 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Windsor CUSD 1 (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #651 of 919 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $30k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CRAW7PC8KT5MMH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29