3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1887
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 252 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$989/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$79
Tax + insurance
−$25
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$677/mo
Annual
$8,128/yr
Cap rate
60.48%
Cash-on-cash
193.53%
DSCR
9.61
1% rule
6.59%
Cash to close
$4,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $15k).
It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $720 of equity ($104 loan paydown + $616 appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#832 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, schools F.
Alden Community School District (rural): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #213 of 330 in IA (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1887 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1887 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29