3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 1894
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 256 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$203
Tax + insurance
−$542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$45/mo
Annual
$539/yr
Cap rate
21.92%
Cash-on-cash
55.82%
DSCR
3.48
1% rule
2.58%
Cash to close
$10,864
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($539/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($268 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,185 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29