4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,199 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 819 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,738/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,188
Tax + insurance
−$695
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$575
Net cashflow
$-720/mo
Annual
$-8,644/yr
Cap rate
4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-7.40%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$116,831
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-720 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $313k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (14.4% below list).
It's been on market 819 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $274k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Bennington Public Schools (rural): math 67% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #3 of 111 in NE (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Pine Creek Elementary (math 77% / reading 74%, grade A, #18 of 502 statewide, top 3%, 578 students, 8% FRL); Bennington High School (math 66% / reading 70%, grade B, #21 of 261 statewide, top 8%, 1,002 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 616 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 62d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 819 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CVEZTX568AYX32
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29