3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,484 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,912/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$551
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$-195/mo
Annual
$-2,336/yr
Cap rate
5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-3.79%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-195 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (15.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $186k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#62 in MI, #1,347 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D.
Lamphere Public Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #235 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Simonds Elementary School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 241 students, 62% FRL); Page Middle School (math 23% / reading 47%, grade F, #283 of 493 statewide, top 58%, 554 students, 54% FRL); Lamphere High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 729 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
13 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CVP15GEWC5DE1J
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29