4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,618 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,575/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,516
Tax + insurance
−$482
HOA
−$43
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$751
Net cashflow
$784/mo
Annual
$9,405/yr
Cap rate
9.55%
Cash-on-cash
11.62%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$80,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $289k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $289k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,274 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Malakoff ISD (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #187 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Malakoff El (math 58% / reading 54%, grade C+, #574 of 4,322 statewide, top 14%, 457 students, 75% FRL); Malakoff Middle (math 48% / reading 54%, grade C, #326 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 323 students, 72% FRL); Malakoff H S (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 378 students, 62% FRL).
Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.7% in Trinidad — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,575/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CW2CPD2HPQG2VE
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29