4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,424 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,391/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$782/mo
Annual
$9,386/yr
Cap rate
25.10%
Cash-on-cash
67.17%
DSCR
3.99
1% rule
2.79%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $782 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,319 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools F, crime D-.
Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CWH6AZ1XR280ZP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29