2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,357 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 217 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,631/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$197
HOA
−$346
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$553
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-385/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.46%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-385/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (12.0% below list).
It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $83k; list at $299k implies a 261% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CWSGYG8DM8P98X
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29