25493 State Highway 3

Godfrey, IL 62022

$63,500B-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 677 sqft · Built 1947 · SingleFamily · Pending · 216 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $827/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$333
• Tax + insurance: −$109
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$174
• Net cashflow: $211/mo
• Annual: $2,534/yr
• Cap rate: 10.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.25%
• DSCR: 1.63
• 1% rule: 1.30%
• Cash to close: $17,780

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($827 rent vs $64k).
• It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $171 of equity ($439 loan paydown + $-268 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#683 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.6% in Godfrey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.