2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Other
· Active
· 183 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$568
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$-158/mo
Annual
$-1,897/yr
Cap rate
12.90%
Cash-on-cash
23.60%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$15,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $27k (50.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($883 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $27k (50.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $518 of equity ($380 loan paydown + $138 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,191 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Shawnee CUSD 84 (rural): math 15% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #792 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Shawnee Elementary School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,477 of 2,056 statewide, top 74%, 151 students, 0% FRL); Shawnee Jr High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #501 of 665 statewide, top 77%, 65 students, 0% FRL); Shawnee High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 69 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.
Alexander County population projected at -53% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $13k; list at $55k implies a 334% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29