5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,162 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,199/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,015
Tax + insurance
−$1,084
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$672
Net cashflow
$-1,585/mo
Annual
$-19,018/yr
Cap rate
2.99%
Cash-on-cash
-11.81%
DSCR
0.47
1% rule
0.56%
Cash to close
$161,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $575k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $295k (48.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (44.4% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($566k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $295k (48.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $61k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $58k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 596 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$99k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CX8C9019SQEYRM
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29