3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,066 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,934/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$286
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-513/yr
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.75%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-513/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (3.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#182 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 423 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $245k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Pooler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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