2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
700 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Land
· Under Contract
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,570/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$861/mo
Annual
$10,333/yr
Cap rate
25.12%
Cash-on-cash
67.22%
DSCR
3.99
1% rule
2.86%
Cash to close
$15,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#163 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hurricane School (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #388 of 585 statewide, top 67%, 706 students, 39% FRL); Tonaquint Intermediate (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #96 of 138 statewide, top 69%, 735 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 1033 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CXRCAPCPEE5SHH
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29