2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Land
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,238/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$570/mo
Annual
$6,840/yr
Cap rate
17.89%
Cash-on-cash
41.40%
DSCR
2.84
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Butte H S (town): math 24% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #73 of 116 in MT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Elementary School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #194 of 293 statewide, top 66%, 473 students, 0% FRL); East Middle School (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #85 of 146 statewide, top 59%, 660 students, 0% FRL); Butte High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #48 of 132 statewide, top 37%, 1,317 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Silver Bow County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Silver Bow County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 2.9% in Butte-Silver Bow (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CXZGCVAE66M5JT
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29