None bd · None ba ·
6,779 sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$30,877/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$17,620
Tax + insurance
−$3,016
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,484
Net cashflow
$3,757/mo
Annual
$45,081/yr
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.79%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$940,800
Investor read
This is a 12 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $3.36M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($45k/yr) — positive. Per door: $313/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $3.09M (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.26M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $3.09M (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $23k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $101k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
San Jose Unified (urban): math 39% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #149 of 517 in CA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Horace Mann Elementary (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,179 of 1,571 statewide, top 78%, 300 students, 68% FRL); Muwekma Ohlone Middle (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #388 of 498 statewide, top 80%, 630 students, 68% FRL); San Jose High (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #674 of 1,170 statewide, top 59%, 934 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 38% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the San Jose Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $680k; list at $3.36M implies a 394% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CZ69PWBHKC5V27
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29