3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,472 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Other
· Pending
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$168
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$643/mo
Annual
$7,715/yr
Cap rate
30.40%
Cash-on-cash
86.11%
DSCR
4.83
1% rule
3.44%
Cash to close
$8,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $32k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#290 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Union 01 (town): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #60 of 80 in SC (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jonesville Elementary Middle (math 25% / reading 27%, grade F, #439 of 597 statewide, top 74%, 603 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $25k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CZ75AP5FTHS9Q0
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29