3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,439 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,687/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$20
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$354
Net cashflow
$318/mo
Annual
$3,811/yr
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.25%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#266 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Cleveland (town): math 21% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #169 of 270 in OK (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Pawnee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pawnee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $165k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.6% in Westport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CZGZBWABWPSJCE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29