16 bd · 0.0 ba ·
3,610 sqft ·
Built 2024
· MultiFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,976
Tax + insurance
−$1,264
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,102
Net cashflow
$2,367/mo
Annual
$28,407/yr
Cap rate
10.04%
Cash-on-cash
13.38%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$212,268
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $759k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $592/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $759k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 744 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $212k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,008/mo this rent would consume 137% of the median local household income ($88k/yr) (locally 3088% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D069EMFGSV9V9G
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29