3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,003 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Condo
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,941/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,501
Tax + insurance
−$1,577
HOA
−$687
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,458
Net cashflow
$-2,282/mo
Annual
$-27,382/yr
Cap rate
3.76%
Cash-on-cash
-9.05%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$293,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $1.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-27k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $646k (38.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $694k (33.8% below list).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($923k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $646k (38.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $74k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $66k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Warner Avenue Elementary (569 students, 8% FRL); Emerson Community Charter (492 students, 51% FRL, charter); University High School Charter (math 40% / reading 66%, grade C-, #285 of 1,170 statewide, top 25%, 1,338 students, 72% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 67% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $600k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $672k; list at $1.05M implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$118k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-D0AS4Z6CXJQ388
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29