6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,322 sqft ·
Built 1983
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 183 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,456/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$1,135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$726
Net cashflow
$-633/mo
Annual
$-7,601/yr
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.09%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $425k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-633 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-317/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $333k (21.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (18.7% below list).
It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $333k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#208 in FL, #3,098 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: commute F.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gulf Elementary School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 1,231 students, 38% FRL); Challenger Middle School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #157 of 571 statewide, top 28%, 1,124 students, 50% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 57% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.1%/yr); 689 active listings in the ZIP; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.1% in Cape Coral — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-D1RE19518CJ3FE
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29