3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,254 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,322/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$750
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$698
Net cashflow
$117/mo
Annual
$1,407/yr
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.50%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$93,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $335k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $59/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $332k (0.8% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $332k (0.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Driggs School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #512 of 553 statewide, top 94%, 462 students, 78% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #165 of 175 statewide, top 94%, 817 students, 81% FRL); John F. Kennedy High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #147 of 194 statewide, top 78%, 1,297 students, 79% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.8%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $142k; list at $335k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,322/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1276% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D1T6N64W54CY6R
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29