1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
514 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Condo
· Active
· 253 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,940/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,664
Tax + insurance
−$705
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$827
Net cashflow
$743/mo
Annual
$8,911/yr
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.79%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$88,872
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $317k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $743 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $317k).
It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($279k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $279k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#257 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Wildwood Crest Borough School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #493 of 612 in NJ (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $138k; list at $317k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.7% in Wildwood Crest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D2S8AB680BBSD2
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29