3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,448 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,851/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$496
HOA
−$105
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$389
Net cashflow
$-292/mo
Annual
$-3,504/yr
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.69%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-292 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (23.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (15.8% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $168k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lamar El (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 554 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D36C240AH5MBMH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29