3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,164 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$582
Net cashflow
$814/mo
Annual
$9,765/yr
Cap rate
11.20%
Cash-on-cash
17.53%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $199k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $814 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#81 in NJ, #1,941 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A, housing A; Watch: cost of living F.
Collingswood Public School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #269 of 472 in NJ (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 81 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.9% in Collingswood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn and dated appearance
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Cluttered and dated appearance
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored
Major: Flooring
— Worn and dirty parquet
Moderate: Paint
— Chipped and worn in some areas
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and in need of trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-D3A8B9D5TX74PB
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29