5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,522 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,247/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$1,298/mo
Annual
$15,579/yr
Cap rate
28.87%
Cash-on-cash
80.64%
DSCR
4.59
1% rule
3.26%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $69k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#573 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
Corry Area SD (town): math 33% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #332 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 28.9% vs local median 4.0% in Corry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Cluttered and dated
Minor: bathroom
— Cluttered and dated
Moderate: exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repainting
CashFlowRE · CFR-D3G46QE45XR5Z1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29