3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,897 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$504
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,428
Net cashflow
$2,377/mo
Annual
$28,522/yr
Cap rate
12.30%
Cash-on-cash
21.44%
DSCR
1.95
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 7 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $475k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $340/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $475k).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $446k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kashmere Gardens El (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,307 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 355 students, 98% FRL); Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 523 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-D3WGAZ8DHN3M0V
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29