3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,047/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$225
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$530/mo
Annual
$6,360/yr
Cap rate
21.08%
Cash-on-cash
52.82%
DSCR
3.35
1% rule
2.44%
Cash to close
$12,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $43k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($297 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Quitman County (town): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #184 of 187 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Quitman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Quitman County population projected at -42% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (6.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 89% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 2.8% in Georgetown-Quitman County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen countertops
— The countertops are worn and need replacement to improve the home's value.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The outdated fixtures need to be replaced to improve the home's value.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring is worn and needs to be replaced to improve the home's value.
Major: Paint
— The paint is peeling and needs to be repainted to improve the home's value.
Major: HVAC and mechanical systems
— The systems are in poor condition and need to be replaced or upgraded to improve the home's value.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29