3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,171 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,282/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$800
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$-24/mo
Annual
$-286/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.67%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$42,700
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $152k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-286/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (2.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Marion Independent School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #158 of 289 in IA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary (318 students, 38% FRL); Vernon Middle School (math 66% / reading 65%, grade A-, #153 of 246 statewide, top 62%, 668 students, 40% FRL); Marion High School (math 69% / reading 80%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 722 students, 28% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $26k; list at $152k implies a 487% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.8% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D4DMEJ9NN7KJQG
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29