4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,618 sqft ·
Built 1918
· Other
· Active
· 199 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,360/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$283
Tax + insurance
−$85
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$706/mo
Annual
$8,467/yr
Cap rate
21.97%
Cash-on-cash
56.00%
DSCR
3.49
1% rule
2.52%
Cash to close
$15,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $54k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($373 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#94 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Hettinger 13 (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #118 of 169 in ND (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.
Adams County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D5HTQVFG41MVKJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29