3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,292 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 124 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,140/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$506
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$286/mo
Annual
$3,426/yr
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.68%
DSCR
1.56
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$27,020
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $667 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#425 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Morehouse Elementary School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #630 of 646 statewide, top 98%, 587 students, 6% FRL); Bastrop High School (math 3% / reading 7%, grade F, #260 of 265 statewide, top 100%, 902 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools average 6% FRL vs 78% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D6217NENZAQN66
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29