4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 134 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$550/mo
Annual
$6,604/yr
Cap rate
14.55%
Cash-on-cash
29.48%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#143 in AK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Lower Kuskokwim School District (rural): math 6% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #18 of 21 in AK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 152 units permitted in Bethel Census Area in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bethel County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant rust and wear
Major: siding
— Severe rust and peeling
Major: foundation
— No visible foundation issues, but general disrepair suggests potential structural concerns
CashFlowRE · CFR-D6950D7JCFQH58
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29