36 bd · 26.0 ba ·
3,200 sqft ·
Built 1951
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,069/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$12,585
Tax + insurance
−$1,984
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,374
Net cashflow
$-1,875/mo
Annual
$-22,501/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.35%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$671,969
Investor read
This is a 4 × 9.0-bed/6.5-bath units multifamily listed at $2.40M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-23k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-469/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.07M (13.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.61M (33.0% below list).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.11M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.61M (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $181k of equity ($17k loan paydown + $165k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $200k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $1.23M; list at $2.40M implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$290k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $16,069/mo this rent would consume 218% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 5410% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29