8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,448 sqft ·
Built 1987
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,963
Tax + insurance
−$1,138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,234
Net cashflow
$541/mo
Annual
$6,491/yr
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.10%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$158,200
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $565k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $135/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $565k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($514k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $514k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#103 in TX, #3,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bess Race El (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,500 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 665 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 52% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1036 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
14 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.5% in Crowley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,876/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 584% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D6CM065P6JP12K
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29