7415 Roger Thomas #2 Dr

Genesee, MI 48458

$795D

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 31 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $905/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4
• Tax + insurance: −$1
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$190
• Net cashflow: $710/mo
• Annual: $8,518/yr
• Cap rate: 1077.69%
• Cash-on-cash: 3826.43%
• DSCR: 171.25
• 1% rule: 113.89%
• Cash to close: $223

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $795.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($905 rent vs $795).
• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($771) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $771 (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Genesee School District (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #464 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $223 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.