2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Manufactured
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,184/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$459
Net cashflow
$767/mo
Annual
$9,204/yr
Cap rate
14.05%
Cash-on-cash
27.69%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.69%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $767 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in WA, #427 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Kenmore Elementary (424 students, 44% FRL); Kenmore Middle School (718 students, 25% FRL); Inglemoor Hs (1,542 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 12% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $129k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 1.7% in Kenmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen flooring
— Yellow linoleum is dated and could be replaced.
Minor: Kitchen cabinetry
— Dated style and could be updated.
Minor: Kitchen appliances
— Older style and could be replaced.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated style and could be updated.
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· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29