5 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,525 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,423/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$430
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$509
Net cashflow
$803/mo
Annual
$9,638/yr
Cap rate
13.71%
Cash-on-cash
26.50%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
1.87%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $803 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Ferndale Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #366 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Ferndale Lower Elementary Campus (476 students, 53% FRL); Ferndale Middle School (math 13% / reading 35%, grade F, #396 of 493 statewide, top 81%, 540 students, 62% FRL); Ferndale High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 712 students, 58% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $23k; list at $130k implies a 467% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29