3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,660 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,218/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$222
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$676
Net cashflow
$983/mo
Annual
$11,792/yr
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.52%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $983 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#126 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
West Fork School District (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #182 of 238 in AR (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: West Fork Elementary School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #305 of 454 statewide, top 71%, 340 students, 54% FRL); West Fork Middle School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #170 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 241 students, 47% FRL); West Fork High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 292 statewide, top 77%, 291 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $220k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.5% in West Fork — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D8QTKM8J9AB1X9
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29