4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,473 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,185/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,312
Tax + insurance
−$1,688
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$669
Net cashflow
$-4,484/mo
Annual
$-53,809/yr
Cap rate
0.98%
Cash-on-cash
-18.97%
DSCR
0.16
1% rule
0.31%
Cash to close
$283,612
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $1.01M. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-54k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $364k (64.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $318k (68.6% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($998k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $318k (68.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#83 in NY, #1,284 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
Saratoga Springs City SD (suburban): math 67% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #138 of 590 in NY (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lake Avenue Elementary School (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #138 of 2,108 statewide, top 8%, 393 students, 21% FRL); Maple Avenue Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #187 of 729 statewide, top 26%, 1,392 students, 27% FRL); Saratoga Springs High School (math 98% / reading 92%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,947 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 561 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 1.0% vs local median 1.8% in Saratoga Springs — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinetry and countertops
— The kitchen appears to have outdated and worn cabinetry and countertops.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathrooms show signs of wear and outdated fixtures.
Major: Interior walls
— The interior walls show signs of discoloration and possible paint peeling.
Major: Landscaping
— The landscaping appears to be overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D8Z8Z39VNCN28Q
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29