3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,467/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$153
HOA
−$550
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$63/mo
Annual
$753/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.39%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($753/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pequea Valley SD (rural): math 27% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #390 of 539 in PA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D99FNNF4QX42QJ
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29